Thursday, December 10, 2009

Like it or not here it is.

..HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM PST FRIDAY...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM PST FRIDAY.

A LARGE...LONG PERIOD WEST TO NORTHWEST SWELL WILL CONTINUE AT
TIMES THROUGH FRIDAY WITH A PERIOD OF AROUND 16 SECONDS. MOST OF THE
SURF WILL BE BETWEEN 4 TO 7 FEET...WITH LOCAL SETS TO NEAR 9 FEET
AT EXPOSED WEST FACING BEACHES. THE SURF WILL DECREASE ON FRIDAY
WITH MAX SETS TO AROUND 7 FEET FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

HIGH TIDES WILL BE 6 FEET OR LESS THROUGH FRIDAY AND ARE NOT
EXPECTED TO BE A FACTOR. THE LARGE SURF WILL CAUSE LOCAL BEACH
EROSION.

IT IS EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TO FISH OR OBSERVE WAVES FROM EXPOSED
COASTAL STRUCTURES OR ROCKS DURING HIGH SURF CONDITIONS. VERY
LARGE WAVES CAN SUDDENLY SWEEP ACROSS PREVIOUSLY DRY AREAS.
SWIMMING OR SURFING IN THESE WAVES MAY BE DANGEROUS FOR ANYONE
DUE TO POWERFUL WAVES AND STRONG RIP CURRENTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH
EROSION.

&&
...WET WEATHER MOVING BACK INTO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA THIS WEEKEND...

A STRING OF DISTURBANCES OVER THE EAST PACIFIC WILL BE MOVING
THROUGH SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA BEGINNING ON FRIDAY AND CONTINUING
THROUGH SUNDAY. PERIODS OF RAIN...AND SNOW AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS IN
THE MOUNTAINS ARE EXPECTED. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
AS WELL.

THE FIRST SYSTEM WILL BRING LIGHT TO LOCALLY MODERATE RAIN SHOWERS
FRIDAY MORNING. AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM OR TWO IS POSSIBLE EARLY IN
THE MORNING WITH LOCALLY BRIEF HEAVY RAIN. THIS WILL BE FOLLOWED BY
ANOTHER PERIOD OF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN ON SATURDAY MORNING. ONE
FINAL ROUND OF MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND SNOW IS POSSIBLE
LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY MORNING. IN BETWEEN EACH SYSTEM...LIGHT
SHOWERS MAY LINGER NEAR THE FOOTHILLS AND MOUNTAINS DUE TO CONTINUED
MOIST WESTERLY FLOW.

TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FOR THE ENTIRE EVENT THROUGH SUNDAY SHOULD
GENERALLY BE IN THE RANGE OF 0.75 TO 1.75 INCHES FOR THE COAST AND
VALLEYS...AND 2.00 TO LOCALLY 4.00 INCHES ON THE FOOTHILLS AND
COASTAL SLOPES OF THE MOUNTAINS. THE BIGGEST TOTALS SHOULD BE IN THE
SAN BERNARDINO MOUNTAINS. LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE WHERE
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP. SNOW LEVELS WILL INITIALLY BE QUITE HIGH ON
FRIDAY...NEAR 7000 FEET...BUT SHOULD FALL TO AROUND 5500 FEET OVER
THE SAN BERNARDINOS AND 6500 FEET OVER THE SAN JACINTOS BY SUNDAY
MORNING...WHERE UP SIX INCHES OF SNOW COULD ACCUMULATE BY SUNDAY
NIGHT. LITTLE SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED ON THE SAN DIEGO COUNTY
MOUNTAINS. IN THE DESERTS...GENERALLY ONE HALF INCH OF RAIN OR LESS
IS EXPECTED.

RAINFALL OF SEVERAL INCHES COULD CAUSE RIVERS TO RISE ENOUGH TO
FLOOD LOW-LYING...TYPICALLY FLOOD PRONE AREAS IN SAN DIEGO COUNTY.
EVEN THOUGH WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN IS NOT EXPECTED FOR SAN DIEGO
COUNTY AT THIS TIME...ISOLATED CONVECTION...OR A SLIGHT SHIFT IN THE
STORM TRACK WOULD MAKE IT MORE LIKELY. OF MAIN CONCERN WOULD BE THE
SOUTH COAST NEAR THE TIJUANA RIVER...AND THE SAN DIEGO RIVER...WHERE
LOW-WATER CROSSINGS WOULD NEED TO BE BARRICADED.

HEAVY RAINFALL ON RECENT BURN AREAS COULD RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING
DEBRIS FLOWS. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MAY BE NEEDED IN THESE AREAS BY
SATURDAY.

PERSONS LIVING IN AND CLOSE TO RECENTLY BURNED AREAS OR IN LOW-LYING
AREAS SUBJECT TO RIVER AND STREAM FLOODING SHOULD KEEP ABREAST OF
LATER FORECASTS.

STAYED TUNED FOR UPDATES ON THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER EVENT.

3 comments:

Anonymous said...

50% chance of rain means no rain. Dirt road will remain open for next 10 days

Mr.Lucky said...

That's correct Anon'. No chance of precipitation through 12/17/2009.

Anonymous said...

Sorry guys, I love it. It will rain, the prehistoric dirt rod will be slop, we can park across from the Marine ballpark on the little parking area and walk down to the sand. Dear Club, don't you ever dare to pave that cow pasture trail, a.k.a. 'Dirt Road'. Actually, at 11:30 AM PST, it's raining 'cats and dogs'.

[asnon2]

Moon Phase